South-West Monsoon Update 2016

The South-West Monsoon winds after reaching Andaman on 18th is currently stalled a little north and west of the Andaman islands at Lat.5.0°N / Long.86.0°E, Lat.8.0°N / Long.87.0°E,  Lat.13.0°N / Long.91.0°E and Lat.16.0°N / Long.95.0°E.

This current stall in the winds are because of the Cyclone 'ROANU' which pulled monsoon moisture and disrupted winds over the Bay of Bengal.

With 'ROANU' gone and winds over the bay gaining strength the monsoon has picked up speed and intensity and is making its way up to the coast of Kerala.

The conditions required for monsoon onset declaration are being met with regular pre monsoon showers and rainfall reported around Kerala and the westerlies in the 925hPa upto 600hPa over the latitudes 5-10 degrees N Latitudes between 10 - 20 knots. This accompanied with strong cross equatorial moisture flow will ensure strengthening of the monsoon says South Indian weatherman.

With temperatures over North-West and Central India expected to rise over the next 2-3 days the monsoon winds should move quickly and cover South India on time.

South Indian weatherman says Monsoon is expected to reach Kerala and monsoon declaration expected by the 08th - 09th of June which is over a week late and should cover most of south India up to parts of Maharashtra by the 15th, before a brief lull again will stall the winds for a week or so before moving into the rest of the country.

Pre Monsoon showers will peak over South India between the 28th and until monsoon sets in. Heavy thundershowers & rainfall expected over Bangalore & rest of interior Karnataka & Tamil Nadu from the 28th.

Next Update from Southindianweatherman on 10th June 2016.....